SportsLine's computer model just revealed its NBA picks today for San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
The San Antonio Spurs aim to continue an upward move when they host the Golden State Warriors on Saturday. San Antonio is 7–2 in the last nine games, improving to 34–46 on aggregate this season. Golden State is on a three-game winning streak with 20–19 points on the road and a 51–29 overall record. Romeo Langford (hamstring) is a suspect for Spurs, with Dejonte Murray (illness), Keldon Johnson (knee), Doug McDermott (ankle), Jacob Poelt (back), and Devin Wassell (heel) denied. Stephen Curry (leg), Klay Thompson (rest), and James Wiseman (knee) are out for the Warriors, while Jordan Poole (arm) is suspicious. Golden State are currently third in the West and are trying to stop the Mavericks for the No. 3 seed. The Spurs have secured a spot in the play-ins and they will likely be the No. 10 seed.
Kaiser Sportsbook lists Golden State as the 6.5-point favorite on the road for this night at 8:30. ET tipoff. In the latest Warriors vs Spurs odds, total points will be scored 218.5 or over-under considering Vegas. Before locking in any Spurs vs. Warriors picks, be sure to check out NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer models.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and generates profits of more than $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a spectacular 84-54 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, bringing in more than $2,400. Anyone who has followed this has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set her sights on the Warriors versus the Spurs, and has simply closed in on her picks and NBA predictions. You can now head over to Sportsline to see the model picks. Here are the NBA odds and betting lines for the Spurs vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Spurs spread: Warriors -6.5
- Warriors vs. Spurs over-under: 218.5 points
- Warriors vs. Spurs money line: Warriors -270, Spurs +220
- GSW: The Warriors are 17-20-2 against the spread in road games
- SAS: The Spurs are 19-21 against the spread in home games
Why warriors can cover
Golden State's defense is key, and San Antonio has a clear offensive weakness. The Spurs rank 25th in the NBA in free throw attempts per game, and San Antonio is also at the bottom of the league in free throw accuracy. From there, Warriors can capitalize on defensive efficiency with a top-three overall score, allowing only 106.7 points per 100 possessions. 2 in the NBA in permitted field goal percentage at 43.9 percent, with opponents shooting only 51.0 percent on 2-point attempts and 33.9 percent on 3-point attempts.
The Warriors also allow only 22.9 assists per game, No. 3 in the NBA, and the Golden State Forces allow 14.6 turnovers per competition. Golden State is in the top five of the NBA with defensive rebound rates (73.7 percent), points allowed in paints (44.0 per game), and top-10 points in steals (8.8 per game). (12.7 per game).
Why can spurs cover
San Antonio's point difference has far surpassed its record for the season, and the Spurs have strong metrics at both ends. The Spurs lead the NBA in assists (28.1 per game) and assist-to-turnover ratio (21.9), with top-five scores in turnover rate (12.6 percent) and assist percentage (64.6 percent). San Antonio is scoring 53.6 points per game in the Paint, No. 2 in the NBA, and the Spurs are in the top eight of the league in offensive rebound rate (28.3 percent) and second chance points (14.4 per game).
The Spurs are also above average in fast break points (13.6 per game) and field goal percentage (46.7 percent), and the Warriors are just 24th in the NBA in free throw prevention on defense. San Antonio's defense ranks in the NBA's top 10 in free throw prevention, assist prevention, fast break points allowed, and blocked shots, with opponents shooting only 52.8 percent of 2-point attempts. Golden State is in the bottom five of the NBA in turnover per game and free throw attempts per game on offense.