After a two-week international break, the English Premier League is set to return this weekend.
And while not necessarily a marquee match of note - the highlight of the weekend is Manchester United/Leicester City at Old Trafford - I believe there is still a lot of value on the betting board.
So, before the Final Four tips on Saturday night, consider these two Premier League bets as a means to build a bankroll.
As a result, I am looking forward to goals in this consistency. Ever since Jesse Marsh took over the top position at Leeds United, his attack has been on par. He has scored at least two expected goals in three of his four matches, including twice straight against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Goals should come fairly easily for Peacock, especially considering how poorly Southampton's defense has played from home. The Saints have conceded the third most expected goals away from home this season, ahead only of Leeds and basement-dwellers Norwich City. In fact, only one team has been under an expected goal through 14 road fixtures this season from manager Ralf Hasenhuttel.
Plus, Leeds could soon be in for some positive aggressive regression. This season, it has scored 34 goals at an expected 39.5 and a good part of that discrepancy has come at home. At land Road, Leeds has scored 17 times on 22 expected goals, according to fbref.com.
All said, this Southampton attack has played well of late and should contribute to Saturday's total. It has scored at least one expected goal in four of its last five and four out of five are away from home. Considering that the reverse fixture has 2.3 xG against Leeds, expect another strong performance from the Saints.
History also supports that statement as there have been at least three goals in three straight meetings between these sides, including Leicester City's 4–2 win at King Power Stadium, in which the sides aligned for 4.5 expected goals. Was.
The duel with this play thrilled me that United's attack has played very well at home while Leicester have struggled to defend on the road. The Red Devils have scored at least one expected goal out of five straight at Old Trafford and at least two expected goals in three of the last four, per fbref.com.
On the flip-side, Leicester have conceded the seventh most road expected goals this season and have allowed at least two xG in three straight road fixtures against a Big Six opposition. Furthermore, it has kept a top-half opponent to score no less than two goals from home this season.
That said, United's defense has given opportunities for top-half EPL attacks lately. In his last four appearances against such sides, he has given at least one of the four expected goals.
As a result, I expect participation from both sides in what turns out to be another high-scoring case.