SportsLine's model revealed its college basketball picks for Central Michigan vs. Toledo in the MAC Tournament 2022
Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland hosts the 2022 MAC tournament starting Thursday. The first game at the venue is the quarterfinal matchup between the Central Michigan Chippewas and the Toledo Rockets. CMU is the number 8 seed of the tournament with a 7–22 record and 6–12 points in conference play, and Chippewa is 1–8 in the last nine games on aggregate. Toledo enters the week as the top seed with a 25-6 overall record and a 17-3 record in MAC competitions.
The Rockets are listed as the 17-point favorite for this 11 a.m. ET tipoff. The latest Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds in Caesars Sportsbook consider Vegas' total number of points, or over-under, at 145.5. Before choosing any Central Michigan vs Toledo, you need to look at college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation models.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, proprietary computer models have generated an impressive profit of nearly $1,600 for $100 players on their top-rated college basketball selections against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Central Michigan versus Toledo, and has simply closed in on its picks and CBB predictions. You can now head over to Sportsline to see the model picks. Now, here are the several college basketball odds and betting lines for Toledo vs. Central Michigan:
- Central Michigan vs. Toledo Spread: Toledo-17
- Central Michigan v Toledo Over-Under: 145.5 points
- Central Michigan vs. Toledo Money Line: Toledo -2000, Central Michigan +1000
- CMU: Chippewa is 11-7 against spread at Mac Games
- TOL: Rockets are 16-4 against proliferation at Mac Games
Why Central Michigan Might Cover
Chippewa is stingy in key areas of defence. Central Michigan is No. 2 in the block rate in Mack, rejecting 11.1 percent of shot attempts. Chippewa also ranks fourth in the conference in a steal rate of 9.3 percent, and is catching opponents shooting 32.9 percent from 3-point range in conference games. Toledo is emphatic on offense, but the Rockets struggle to make free-throw attempts, and Toledo is second in Mack in avoiding blocked shots, with more than 11 percent of shots dismissed this season.
On offense, Central Michigan is well above the national average in 3-point shooting, putting in 34.5 percent attempts, and Chippewa is in the top five of Macks in free-throw manufacturing rate. Toledo doesn't cause much havoc, with the Rockets ranking the second worst in the Mac in turnover construction rate (15.4 percent) and theft rate (7.7 percent).
Why Toledo can cover
Toledo's offense is undeniably elite, making Mac a leader in many categories. The Rockets are also very good at defense, ranking No. 2 in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Toledo is No. 1 in the Mac in shooting efficiency, with conference-leading marks in 2-point shooting allowed (44.9 percent) and 3-point shooting allowed (31.0 percent). Toledo also leads Mack in free-throw prevention, and the Rockets are in the top four in defensive rebound rate at 72.8 percent.
Central Michigan's offense is melee overall, ranking second worst in the Mac in efficiency, and Chippewa last in 2-point accuracy at 45.8 percent. Central Michigan is also below average in turnover rate, is cheaper on assets at 18.6 percent in conference games, and Chippewa Mack has worse than average 3-point accuracy (32.6 percent) and free-throw accuracy (71.0 percent). ,